EXTREME CLIMATE EVENTS OVER EUROPE USING HADCM3 MODEL OUTPUT
C. Giannakopoulos, E. Akylas, J.P.Palutikof, P.Good
Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 6, 04936, 2004
In this study, the impact in the climatic change over Europe of two possible emission scenarios has been investigated. The emphasis is given in the interpretation of the change in the probability of the extreme values for main meteorological parameters, which determine the climate characteristics of an area. The analysis is based on the temperature, precipitation and wind daily outputs of HadCM3 model, for the current century. The main result is that both scenarios conclude in a gradual warming, which shows strong seasonal variation. Concerning the maximum temperature, the warming is much more pronounced over the continental Europe during the summer period. At the same time the minimum temperatures rise more during the winter, mainly at the NE part of Europe. The precipitation shows less dependence, with a small increase in the maximum values and the number of dry days. The latter is mainly due to a decrease in the cases with small amount of precipitation. No significant change has been found for the wind speed.
C. Giannakopoulos, E. Akylas, J.P.Palutikof, P.Good
Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 6, 04936, 2004
In this study, the impact in the climatic change over Europe of two possible emission scenarios has been investigated. The emphasis is given in the interpretation of the change in the probability of the extreme values for main meteorological parameters, which determine the climate characteristics of an area. The analysis is based on the temperature, precipitation and wind daily outputs of HadCM3 model, for the current century. The main result is that both scenarios conclude in a gradual warming, which shows strong seasonal variation. Concerning the maximum temperature, the warming is much more pronounced over the continental Europe during the summer period. At the same time the minimum temperatures rise more during the winter, mainly at the NE part of Europe. The precipitation shows less dependence, with a small increase in the maximum values and the number of dry days. The latter is mainly due to a decrease in the cases with small amount of precipitation. No significant change has been found for the wind speed.